Current Market Position
On the 1-hour chart, USDCAD has just made a significant move:
➡️ Price has broken above yesterday’s high
➡️ The sell zone has now been adjusted higher to reflect the new structure
Now this is where discipline comes in…
Even though price is pushing higher, based on the daily Fibonacci, we are still firmly in a:
👉 Premium pricing zone
And that means one thing:
We are not looking to buy up here. We are looking for sells.
Why We Adjust the Zone (And Don’t Chase Buys)
This is where a lot of traders get it wrong.
Price breaking higher does NOT mean we flip our bias.
Instead:
- When price makes a new high in premium
- We adjust the sell zone upward
- And continue waiting for a sell setup
No guessing. No reacting emotionally. Just following rules.
What Needs to Happen Next (BRACE for Sells)
We are now waiting for the market to give us a proper BRACE setup:
1. Break
We need price to break below the adjusted sell zone
(Not above—because we are selling from premium)
2. Retest
Price should then retest that zone from below
This is where weak buyers get trapped.
3. Confirm Entry
Now we wait for:
- Bearish rejection
- Strong bearish candle close
- Clean structure shift
That’s your entry trigger.
What If Price Keeps Going Higher?
Simple.
We do NOT chase.
If price continues to push higher:
- We adjust the sell zone again
- And wait for a new BRACE setup
That’s it.
No setup = No trade
No confirmation = No entry
The Bigger Picture (Important)
Now here’s where this ties into the 4H analysis…
On the 4-hour chart, this same pair is sitting in discount (weekly Fibonacci) and setting up for potential buys.
So what does that mean?
👉 The 4H is looking for buys
👉 The 1H is looking for sells
And here’s the key:
Both can be correct.
Which One Do You Trade?
You can trade either one.
But you must follow the rules of the timeframe you choose.
- If you are trading the 1H → follow 1H rules (premium = sells)
- If you are trading the 4H → follow 4H rules (discount = buys)
What you do NOT do:
❌ Mix rules between timeframes
❌ Take a 1H entry based on 4H bias without confirmation
❌ Force alignment that isn’t there yet
Key Takeaway
This is professional trading right here:
- One timeframe gives direction
- Another gives opportunity in the opposite direction
Your job is not to argue with the market…
Your job is to execute cleanly based on your chosen timeframe“If you’re seeing buys on one timeframe and sells on another, that’s not a mistake—read this breakdown here.”
Final Thoughts
USDCAD on the 1H is simple:
➡️ We are in premium
➡️ We are looking for sells
➡️ We are waiting for BRACE confirmation
Until then… we sit on our hands.
